How Tactfolio works

Most people who invest on their own already follow a rule, even if it only lives in their head: “buy the index and never sell”, “move to bonds when things look bad”, “hold whatever has been doing best”. Tactfolio lets you write that rule down exactly, replay it on decades of real prices, and see what it would have asked of you along the way.

What a strategy looks like#

Here is a complete strategy. It is Mebane Faber’s timing rule from 2007, one of the classic strategies you can open and copy:

Faber S&P 500 Timing
IfAll of
Then
SPY
Else
BIL

Read it from the top. Money enters at the strategy and flows down. At the end of every month, the If block asks one question: is SPY, a fund that tracks the S&P 500, trading above its average price over the last ten months? If it is, the money goes to the first branch and holds SPY. If not, it goes to the Else branch and holds BIL, a fund of short-term Treasury bills that behaves like cash earning interest.

That’s the whole idea of Tactfolio: a strategy is a small tree of blocks that decides what you hold. Four blocks cover most ideas:

  • Tickers are what you can hold: US-listed funds and stocks, such as SPY or IEF, a fund of US Treasury bonds.
  • Weight blocks split money between the blocks inside them, equally, by percentages you choose, or by risk.
  • If / Else blocks check a condition and send the money one way or the other.
  • Rank blocks score a list of candidates, such as by their return over the last three months, and keep the best few.

The builder guide covers every block, and common patterns shows how the classic ideas are built from them.

What a backtest tells you#

A backtest replays your rules over past prices as if you had followed them. Each time a strategy runs, Tactfolio reads the rules at the day’s closing price, trades at that close, and charges a small cost on every trade. You see how $1 would have grown, the deepest fall along the way, what the strategy held and when, and what it would hold today, all next to a benchmark you choose.

It also shows you where to be suspicious. A second line trades the same rules at the next morning’s open, and a Reality checks table repeats the trades at higher costs and compares you with the benchmark at your level of risk. What a backtest simulates lists every assumption.

A backtest can’t tell you what happens next. Rules that look good on the past usually do worse afterwards, and it’s easy to fool yourself. Why past results mislead explains how, and what to do about it.

How people use it#

  1. Start from something that exists. Open one of the four starter patterns in the builder, a classic from the library, or someone else’s published strategy from Discover.
  2. Change one thing and watch. The backtest reruns as you edit, so you learn what each rule does by moving it.
  3. Try to break it. Test a different decade, raise the costs, switch on simulated history to reach back before a fund existed, and see whether the idea survives.
  4. Save as you go. Every save is kept as a revision you can go back to, so nothing you tried is lost.
  5. Share it, if you like. Publishing gives your strategy a public page with its rules and results, and a place in Discover. It’s optional; private strategies stay private.

You can also hand the building to an AI assistant: describe a rule in a sentence, and it builds the tree, runs the backtests, and saves a draft for you to check. See Use Tactfolio from your AI assistant.

What you can do today#

Without an account:

  • Explore the four starter patterns and their last ten years in the builder.
  • Read the classic strategies, each with its sources, rules, and daily-updated results.
  • Browse everyone’s published strategies in Discover, and open any strategy’s page to see its rules and backtest.

With a free account:

  • Build, backtest, and save your own strategies, and find them in your workspace.
  • Copy any public strategy and change it, or use it as a building block in your own.
  • Publish, star strategies you like, and follow authors.
  • Connect an AI assistant to your account.
  • Trade a strategy in Trade, on paper or in your own Alpaca account.

Everything is free while we build.

What Tactfolio is not#

  • Not advice. Tactfolio doesn’t tell you what to buy. Everything it shows comes from rules that you, your assistant, or another author wrote.
  • Not a broker. Trade runs your strategy on paper, with pretend money at real market prices, or in your own Alpaca account with your own API keys. Your money stays with Alpaca.
  • Long only. A strategy holds funds, stocks, or cash. It can’t sell short or borrow. Leveraged and inverse funds can be held like any other fund.

Where to start#

Learn the ideas behind it