Tactfolio Nasdaq Trend

A monthly rules-based allocation strategy by @tactfolio using QQQ, IEF, and GLD.

A growth strategy from the Tactfolio Research Lab. It holds the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) while it closes the month above its 10-month average, and half intermediate Treasuries, half gold when it does not. It aims to keep most of the Nasdaq's growth and step aside in long bear markets; it can still fall hard in a sudden crash, and it lags the Nasdaq when markets whipsaw. We designed it on 2008 to 2018 and tested it unchanged on 2019 onward. Its live record starts on the date of version 1.

Version 1, published November 3, 2026. 0 stars, 0 copies.

Rules

Weight: Equal
- If: current price of QQQ is above 10-month moving average of month-end closes of QQQ
  - Then:
    - Weight: Equal
      - QQQ
  - Otherwise:
    - Weight: Specified
      - IEF
      - GLD

Backtest results are hypothetical and not investment advice.